South Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Mar, 2014 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone HELLEN (21S) currently located near 14.1 S 43.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Soalala (16.1 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mayotte
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Comoros
        probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mahajanga (15.7 S, 46.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Besalampy (16.7 S, 44.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/