Update 2: Meduim to heavy rain forecast for parts of the Southern Cape Area (28 - 30 January 2014)

The weather changed rapidly in the last few hours. It started to rain steadily at around 20h15 SAST in Heiderand, Mossel Bay. The latest satellite images reflect the upper air trough clearly which is now situated over parts of the Western and Northern Cape.  We need to keep a close watch on the current further development of the system.  It would appear that this system might develop into a cut-off low.  This is not clearly defined at the moment but should become clearer as and if the system develop further.  Quiet noticeably is the fact that this system looks the same in structure as the systems that brought heavy rain and flooding in November 2007 and 2008 to the Southern Cape and Overberg areas.  The difference is the lack of sufficient moisture at this stage.  That goes without saying that this could change if a cut-off low develops. 

Images: SAT24 + Wunderground (Click on images for larger view.)