Intense Tropical Cyclone BEJISA (06S) currently located near 18.9 S 53.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mauritius
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
- tropicalstormrisk.com + CIMSS
