Here is the text for the area NW of Madagascar:
WTXS21 PGTW 110200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.9S 53.0E TO 17.4S 56.5E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 110130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.2S 53.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.4S 53.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.2S 53.7E, APPROXIMATELY 325 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF LA REUNION. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 102252Z MHS MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY WRAPPING INTO A CONSOLIDATING LLCC. THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10 TO 15 KNOTS). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 120200Z.// NNNN
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone in this area in the next 24 hours is high.
Observers need to keep a close eye on both these systems.
Images: JTWC, NOAA, SAT24 and Eumetsat
