SAWS SEVERE WEATHER ALERTS:
WARNINGS:-----------Nil
WATCHES: 1. Heavy rain is expected over the eastern parts of Pixley Ka Seme
municipality(VAN WYKSVLEI AND VICTORIA WEST) in the northern cape
and the eastern parts of the Central Karoo as wel
l as the Eden District
of the western cape.
2. A high veldfire danger rating is expected along the eastern
escarpment of the Eastern Cape.
SPECIAL WEATHER ADVISORIES: 1. An intense Cut
-
off low system is expected to develop
in the west
from this evening and is expected to affect the interior of the Northern
Cape, as well as the eastern parts of the Western Cape. The public and
stock farmers are advised that heavy falls leading to localised urban flooding
can be expected.
2. Hot and humid weather wil result in extremely uncomfortable conditions over
the south eastern interior of the Eastern Cape.
MSBWX National Severe Weather Observations: Substantial reduction in the amount of fires in the past 24 hours. 53 Fires
detected
over the past 24 hours in South Africa. Please contact
your
nearest fire fighting unit, Working on Fire
or Local Fire Fighting Service when fires are observed. The earlier a
fire is detected to better the chances of extinguishing the fire.
MSBWX General Weather Observations: Cool to warm conditions expected today over parts of SA. Isolated to scattered showers and thundershowers can be expected in parts of the Northern Cape, Western Cape with possible heavy rain by this afternoon and evening. Showers and thunderstorms are also expected in parts
of the Eastern Cape, Karoo, Southern Cape and Kwazulu Natal.
Latest forecast models reflect the development of a intense cut-off low system over the Northern Cape. I would however like to reiterate that the amount of rain in a specific
area as a result of a cut-off low is difficult to predict. When an
upper-level low-pressure system becomes "stuck" in one place due to a
lack of steering currents, it is known as being "cut off". The usual
pattern which leads to this is the jet stream retreating, leaving the
then cut-off system behind.
What can we possibly expect ? (Please note weather
is not an exact science. I prefer real time weather observations rather
than to rely on prediction charts.) However here is my personal
outlook for the above period.
1. Possible moderate to heavy rain.
2. Possibility of thunderstorms
3. Strong to gale force winds (23 - 65 km/h)
4. Possible flash flooding
5. Rough Seas
6. Bad visibility
7. Possible Flooding
8. Warm to humid weather in areas
It is still to early to say for certain if the system will result in
severe weather, however at this stage it appears that this is a
significant system that should be observed full time as from today.
MSBWX and SAWXREP hereby ask the general public to forward
any reports of severe weather conditions and flash flooding to the
MSBWX and SAWXREP.. Use your cellphone, digital camera, email and private weather
station etc. in gathering and forwarding information, photos and data. Email your observations by clicking HERE.
We also remind our readers that MSBWX and SAWXREP also utilize Twitter to keep our readers informed.
https://twitter.com/SAWXREP (@SAWXREP) and Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MSBWX
MSBWX request that members of the public be on high alert during the above
period!!
MSBWX National Disaster Observations: None
- MSBWX + SAWXREP + SAWS
