South Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Dec, 2013 18:00 GMT

 

Tropical Cyclone BEJISA (06S) currently located near 12.3 S 52.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

- Tropicalstormrisk.com + CIMSS